Monthly Archives: July 2015

Why CORD Coalition won’t win 2017 presidency


As one of the CORD coalition leaders may suggest that my name betrays me for making such remarks, I wish to say categorically that I don’t represent any form of coalition. Having cleared the air on this, the fact still remains I hail from the GEMA community. Another fact is I am a Kenyan who was once a great supporter and admirer of the Orange democratic movement. I had once opted to get a tattoo with the initials “ODM-Baba Tosha” but my inner sense convinced me not to, because political parties in Kenya are like outfits, they only suits a particular moment or season and once their seasons are over the political outfits are changed.

Anyway back to my allegation of why CORD coalition won’t win 2017 election forced me to go on a fact finding mission that came up with the following five fold common mistake the CORD coalition (precisely ODM Party) keeps making that will cost them again the 2017 presidency.

First, CORD as a coalition is made up of one person. It is like a privately owned company. All decisions are made by one person and anyone who differs with him gets fired. Raila owns CORD Coalition full stop. Kalonzo and Wetangula are just props or accessories. They make the Coalition looks as if it’s not an ODM affair. Other than that they add no value and whether they leave or stay, they will be replaced by another power- hungry red eyed politician from their community. Hence the problem of having one person calling the shots despite all the structures being in place indicates signs of dictatorship, lack of democratic principles and lack of growth within the party.

Secondly, CORD coalition keeps applying the wrong political strategy. They focus more on tainting the image of the ruling government or their opponents without providing a better solution to problems affecting the people. For example in the last general elections they maximized on tarnishing the image of both President Uhuru and his deputy William Ruto as criminals. They forgot that this narrative was the selling point of the Jubilee government which resulted to them winning from all the sympathy votes. Currently they are focusing on the corruption scandals rocking the Jubilee government yet they forget the president made the first move purporting to fight corruption that gave him a standing ovation from all the parties in the National Assembly including members of the CORD Coalition. Also corruption is not news to Kenyans; sadly it’s the order of the day.

Thirdly, power struggle will be the down fall of the CORD Coalition come 2017. The three principles are all political vultures. They are not a team and each of them is eyeing the presidency but to one of them, the presidency means more than even going to heaven. Meaning that there is no way Raila will be a running mate hence Kalonzo and wetangula need to shelve their ambition until 2022. Will they agree? Time will tell. Also within the coalition the so called “small” politicians are in constant in-house fights that not only bring divisiveness within the coalition parties but also demoralize active and hard working party members/ politicians.

Fourthly, CORD coalition lack proper and well trained political strategists/ advisors. What they have is a group of individuals who lack wisdom; fresh ideas and they have all fallen short of better and developed ideologies that will revive the Coalition. Sadly most of their strategists/ advisors are politicians or “wannabes” who lack the proper vision and strategies that will help them win the presidential race. Also Most of these “wannabes” are busy on press conferences attacking politicians yet their place is supposed to be at the background calculating and preparing ammunitions to counter the rival politicians.

Lastly, the CORD Coalition lacks young leaders who understand the current trend and can have a closer impact on the young generation than the older folks. I do believe they may try to argue saying that there are critical positions allocated to the young leaders within the coalition parties but the fact remains; are the young leaders inspired to take up these roles with pride and make decisions? Sadly not and the truth is any young leader who is aggressive is either fought within or silenced by old guards who are so rigid that letting go of power is a problem. This is why after the last general election there was a mass exodus of young leaders from the coalition who were short changed and some ended up getting a safe haven in Jubilee government hence creating a vacuum in the Cord coalition.

The sycophants will defiantly disagree with me but proverbs 12:15 says- “The ways of a fool seems right to him, but a wise man listens to advice”. If the coalition wants to win 2017 elections they need to a have an internal audit and make necessary changes.

Article by,
Dennis Mwaniki
Political scientist


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History has always been cruel to the United States for always not being wise in choosing which lesser evil to support when it comes to the International geo-politics. It is alleged that they are the ones who invented Osama Bin laden who ended up being their worst enemy. It is also said that Saddam Hussein one of the worst dictators rose into power through their assistance so as to curb the growth and influence of the Iraqi Communist Party which by the late 1950’s was on the verge of taking power. To them Saddam Hussein seemed a “lesser evil” at that time. These are some of the choices the United States government and its agencies played in picking the “lesser kind of evil” that they would wish to forget. Unfortunately, we are all in one point or the other faced with this kind of choice and whichever decision we make, we will either be affected positively or negatively.

In the next 2 years or so Kenyans are going to be faced with this kind of question during elections. We will be required to choose between a “lesser evil” of a leader and whether we like it or not we need to start preparing our minds to make that decision. For instance in Nairobi County we are currently faced by two kinds of “evils” and it is our duty to apply any kind of measures to quantify the “lesser evil” of the two. One of these “evils” is part of a team running the County government and the other is purporting to run a parallel government within the same County. Both of them are leaders whom we democratically elected.

When Governor Kidero ran for elections in 2013 some of us who thought or purported to be professionals in our different fields came out in large numbers to elect him. We were excited to have such a person with impressive curriculum vitae to run the Capital City and hopefully restore its name as city under the sun. We walked proudly knowing that Nairobi County will be a 24 hour economy, have tapped and clean running water in all households, modern recreational amenities such as parks, decent and affordable housing that will help curb the increase of informal settlements, a clean city with a proper and functioning drainage system, proper flow of traffic and hopefully a well secured city with CCTV cameras manning every street. Sadly all what we have experienced under kidero’s government is corruption within the county government, rise of cartels in the garbage collection sector and other service providers, slapping of fellow leaders, flooding of the city, traffic congestion and insecurity.

The current county government of Nairobi led by Governor Kidero has failed to deliver its mandate including the promises and benefits that some county governments are enjoying. If our votes were to be equated as shares by now all of us who voted for Kidero would be filing for bankruptcy having our shares trading at 0.00 Cent per share.

The other “evil” is Senator Mike “Sonko” who is running a shadow government in Nairobi County. To many he seems the “lesser evil” having established the Sonko Rescue Team which provides ambulance services, disaster management such as rescuing individuals when disasters such as floods and infernos occur, financial assistance, hearse services and also wedding limousines free of charge. As a result he has created jobs for many young individuals. He has become a darling to many especially to the low income earners and the youths. Sadly what scares most of us who are not yet romanticized by his actions is that none of us know the source of his wealth. Secondly, his “thuggish” leadership style of branding guns, pimped cars and weird dressing tends to degrade the office he wishes to occupy.

We are in a dilemma and even if other candidates will avail themselves we will still be forced to either follow the words of Mae West, “when choosing between two evils, always try the one you have never tried or Charles Spurgeon, “ of two evils, choose neither. Thus the question that begets is which “lesser evil” of a leader will we choose?

Article by,

Dennis Mwaniki

Political Scientist

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